Baron Focused Growth Fund: Latest Insights and Commentary

U.S. equities were broadly higher in the third quarter, building on gains from the prior quarter. The S&P 500 Index and NASDAQ Composite set new record highs, most recently on September 22, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the quarter at an all-time high. Small caps led the market recovery, with the Russell 2000 Index finally surpassing its previous record high achieved almost four years ago on November 8, 2021. Market volatility remained muted during the quarter as the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) continued to trade in the mid-teens, well below its long-term average of around 20. 

The preeminent driver of market strength was the increased likelihood of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts, prompted by signs of weakness in the labor market and the subsequent emergence of more dovish Fed commentary. Rate cut expectations rose in early August following a much weaker-than-expected July nonfarm payrolls report and significant downward revisions to prior numbers. Dovish Fedspeak intensified as the month wore on, with Chair Powell hinting a possible interest rate cut while delivering remarks at the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole conference. Similarly, Governor Waller continued to advocate for cuts while speaking at the Economic Club of Miami. The Fed eventually resumed its rate-cutting cycle at the September meeting, lowering its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4% to 4.25%, after being on hold since its previous cut last December. Robust corporate earnings, narrowing trade uncertainties, a resilient consumer, increased M&A and IPO activity, and sustained AI optimism also contributed to market gains during the quarter. 

The Magnificent Seven complex dominated market returns for a second consecutive quarter, accounting for nearly two-thirds of the S&P 500 Index’s third-quarter gains. The group appreciated 15.5% in the period, outperforming all other securities in the Index, which were up 4.6%, by a double-digit margin. Tesla (+40.0%), Alphabet (+38.1%), Apple (+24.2%), and NVIDIA (+18.1%) posted the largest gains. Meta and Amazon were essentially flat in the period, trailing the broader Index. 

Most sectors closed higher in the period, with Information Technology, Communication Services, and Consumer Discretionary being the only sectors to outperform the broader market thanks to the heavy influence of the Magnificent Seven. Consumer Staples was the only sector to decline in the period, driven by broad-based weakness across a range of sub-industries, including distillers & vintners, personal care products, food retail, tobacco, and household products. Other laggards were Real Estate, Financials, Health Care, Industrials, Energy, and Materials. From a style perspective, small caps outperformed in the third quarter, rising more than 12% and narrowing the gap with mid- and large-cap stocks this year. Performance was mixed between growth and value, with growth stocks dominating in July, losing out to value in August, and rebounding in September. Despite recent volatility, growth generally remains ahead of value year to date, with the largest differential in the mid- and large-cap segments thanks to the heavy influence of Palantir and the broader Magnificent Seven. 

Beyond the U.S., emerging market (EM) equities meaningfully outperformed in September to finish ahead of their developed market counterparts for the quarter. The rally in Chinese equities was largely responsible for EM outperformance, with gains being driven by investor optimism about AI innovation, which bolstered Chinese technology and internet companies. Targeted government initiatives, easing trade tensions with the U.S., and significant domestic capital inflows also contributed to strength in China. Taiwanese and Korean equities also performed well in the period, overshadowing weakness in India, where equity markets were pressured by underwhelming corporate earnings and concerns about recently enacted U.S. tariffs. Foreign investor flows in Indian markets turned negative in the third quarter after being meaningfully positive in May and June. Performance in developed markets was held back by weakness in continental Europe (Denmark, Germany, Norway, Switzerland, France, and Sweden). European equities were hurt by weak corporate earnings, Trump tariff headwinds, and political instability, particularly in France, where the country’s prime minister resigned after losing a crushing confidence vote in parliament.

CONTRIBUTORS

• Tesla, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells fully electric vehicles, related software and components, solar products, and energy storage solutions. Shares rose during the quarter due to three key catalysts. First, Tesla’s core automotive business is showing renewed strength, with expectations for rising third-quarter delivery volumes across major markets following an enthusiastic consumer response to a new Model Y variant in China. Second, investor confidence in the company's long-term vision and in Elon Musk’s leadership was reinforced by a newly proposed CEO compensation package and nearly $1 billion in personal share purchases by Musk. ​Finally, Tesla’s AI initiatives continue to advance rapidly, highlighted by the Austin robotaxi network’s expansion from 20 to over 170 square miles since its June 2025 launch and plans for rollouts to additional cities. The upcoming Full Self-Driving Version 14 release is also expected to deliver a major leap in capability for the company’s consumer-owned fleet, while humanoid robot production is anticipated next year as Tesla finalizes its latest Optimus design.
• Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) is a high-profile private company founded by Elon Musk. The company’s primary focus is on developing and launching advanced rockets, satellites, and spacecrafts, with the ambitious long-term goal of making life multi-planetary. SpaceX is generating significant value with the rapid expansion of its Starlink broadband service. The company is successfully deploying a vast constellation of Starlink satellites in Earth's orbit, reporting substantial growth in active users, and regularly deploying new and more efficient hardware technology. Furthermore, SpaceX has established itself as a leading launch provider by offering highly reliable and cost-effective launches, leveraging the company's reusable launch technology. SpaceX capabilities extend to strategic services such as human spaceflight missions. Moreover, SpaceX is making tremendous progress on its newest rocket, Starship, which is the largest, most powerful rocket ever flown. This next-generation vehicle represents a significant leap forward in reusability and space exploration capabilities. We value SpaceX using prices of recent stock transactions.
• Leading online brokerage house Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. contributed to performance, driven by strong quarterly results. The company continues to grow accounts at a 30%-plus rate year over year, with revenue and earnings remaining robust. Interactive Brokers is also benefiting from favorable market conditions, as elevated asset prices and strong investor trading volumes combine to drive unusually high earnings for the company. We believe Interactive Brokers has a compelling long-term growth path and remain investors.

DETRACTORS

• Shares of premium footwear and apparel brand On Holding AG fell during the quarter amid macroeconomic uncertainty and concerns about rising competition in the global sportswear industry. Despite these headwinds, the company delivered strong quarterly results, with revenue up 38% and broad-based growth across regions and categories. Management also raised its revenue and profitability expectations for the year. We maintain conviction in On’s ability to gain market share in the attractive global sportswear segment through its premium brand positioning and innovative product offerings, and we believe shares remain undervalued at current levels.
• Spotify Technology S.A. is a leading global digital music service, offering on-demand audio streaming through paid premium subscriptions and an ad-supported model. Shares detracted from performance following mixed quarterly results and a longer timeline for margin expansion. This was partly offset by announcements of price increases across multiple regions and completed negotiations with major record labels. Despite recent price hikes, user growth remained strong at a double-digit pace, with high engagement and low churn even amid consumer uncertainty. The company has been on a path to structurally increase gross margins, aided by its high-margin artist promotions marketplace, growing contribution from podcasts, and ongoing investments in advertising. Spotify also continued to innovate on the product side, calling 2025 the "year of accelerated execution," with priorities in improving advertising, expanding into video, developing a Super Premium tier, and taking more market share. We continue to view Spotify as a long-term winner in music streaming with potential to reach 1 billion-plus monthly active users.
• FactSet Research Systems Inc. is a leading provider of investment management tools. Shares fell during the quarter due to a combination of industry-wide concerns about AI, uncertainty surrounding the ongoing CEO transition (which prompted a more conservative preliminary fiscal 2026 outlook), and cautious commentary from several financial data and software peers. The company nevertheless reported solid fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 earnings results, its best quarter ever for new sales, and discussed at length how AI is benefiting the business. We retain long-term conviction in FactSet given its large addressable market, strong execution across both new product development and financial results, and robust free cash flow generation.