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Market Commentary

Baron Real Estate Income Fund: Latest Insights and Commentary

Review & Outlook

As of 06/30/2026

After selling off in March due to the U.S.-Iran conflict and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. equities rallied to new record highs during the second quarter, with most of the gains coming in April and May. Given narrow market breadth and concentrated position sizes in recent years, the gap in performance between the market cap-weighted S&P 500 Index and the equal-weighted version has reached extremes not seen since the dotcom bubble era (based on rolling three-year results). 

Real estate shares also rebounded. The MSCI USA IMI Extended Real Estate Index rose 9.88%, while the MSCI US REIT Index gained 11.84%. Performance was broad but uneven, with REITs, homebuilders, building products companies, and travel-related businesses benefiting from improving sentiment, attractive valuations, and generally healthy demand. Retail, health care, industrial, and data center real estate remained particularly well supported, while residential and certain commercial categories showed early signs of improvement. 

M&A activity accelerated across several real estate industries, highlighting the gap between depressed public market valuations and higher private market values. At the same time, elevated interest rates and housing affordability pressures continued to constrain transaction activity, while concerns about AI-related disruption weighed on some commercial real estate services firms and alternative asset managers. 

We believe the conditions are in place for real estate to perform well over the next few years. Demand across most property sectors remains steady, while new supply has declined—often by more than 50% from peak 2002 levels—a dynamic we believe is underappreciated. 

As a result, growth may rebound more quickly than in prior cycles because the sector is not burdened by excess supply or elevated vacancies. Many public real estate shares have lagged, and valuations have reset to reflect a higher cost of capital, leaving many trading at attractive discounts to private market values. This disparity could support continued real estate M&A activity. 

Top Contributors/Detractors to Performance

As of 06/30/2026

CONTRIBUTORS

  • The Macerich Company is a REIT that owns a high-quality portfolio of U.S. mall properties. The stock contributed to performance during the second quarter on continued strong execution by the management team in its multi-year plan to create a more efficient, faster-growing, lower-leverage retail mall portfolio. We continue to believe that Macerich should benefit from favorable real estate fundamentals for high-quality, well-located retail properties, with tenant demand exceeding available space and generating rent growth.

 

DETRACTORS

  • GDS Holdings Limited is a leading developer and operator of high-performance data centers, operating in key cities across China and expanding rapidly across Asia. Despite solid operating results and strong performance earlier in the year, the stock declined in the second quarter. Several factors weighed on performance, including management's commentary around the components of full-year guidance, a material step-up in expected capital expenditures over the next few years, a slight delay in the expected timing of an inflection in underlying growth. We trimmed our position and reallocated capital to ideas where we have greater visibility and lower exogenous risk, particularly given the current geopolitical environment. However, we continue to see evidence of the growing AI wave in China through significant bookings growth and believe the market underappreciates the value of GDS's stake in its spun-out international subsidiary, DayOne.

Quarterly Attribution Analysis (Institutional Shares)

As of 06/30/2026

The Quarterly Attribution Analysis for period ending June 30, 2026, is not yet available.